What are exit poll margins?

Q: What does exit poll margin mean?

Margins indicate the vote-share gap between leading and trailing coalitions.

Q: How are seat estimates derived?

Seat projections come from converting predicted vote-share into seat counts using constituency-level models.

Data as of 2026-04-30 Sources: ECI, affidavits, published records Method is public and auditable

Methodology Transparency Corrections policy

Direct answer High confidence

Exit poll margins indicate the vote-share gap between leading and trailing coalitions. Seat projections derive from converting predicted vote-share into seat counts using constituency-level electoral geometry and incumbency effects.

By Greatidude Research Desk · Editorial byline · Published: 2026-04-27 · Reviewed: 2026-04-27

Sources: Exit polls , How exit polls work · Dataset rev: tn-public-data-2026-04-27 · Entity rev: answer-copy:exit-poll-margin:2026-04-27

See exit polls hub and vs results for comparison.